Sunday, April 30, 2006

No WMD's But Iraq Is Now Terrorist Bait

Sydney Morning Herald - Iraq invasion spurs terrorism

Quick review of the misinformation:

No WMD's in Iraq plus a later cover-up when Bush claimed in 2003 that there were WMD's; the war has not paid for itself and will approach a total cost of 1 trillion dollars (Lawrence Lindsey, White House Economic Advisor, was fired for suggesting a total cost of $100-220 billion when the administration was putting out $50 billion for the total cost); and the claim that Saddam was harboring terrorists and therefore involved somehow in the 11 September attacks (Concluded the senior U.S. official: "Did Saddam tolerate terrorists? Yes. Was there any evidence Saddam was involved with 9/11? No.").

Here's another good revisionist timeline from 2004 - Center For American Progress - Why We Went In: Version 10.0

The only credible statement I read (I forget where) regarding the Iraq invasion is that the true purpose was a message to the other middle-eastern countries (e.g., Iran, Syria) that the U.S. will use the military for political purposes.

However, lines are now being drawn and China and Russia are backing Iran. Other countries are sitting to the side and the long-term ramifications of current U.S. policy do not look promising.

Richard T. Farmer School of Business In Top 25

Dayton Business Journal - Miami's business school makes BusinessWeek list

Fox News Admits Peak Oil!

FOXNews.com - Experts: Global Oil Production May Peak Soon

Friday, April 28, 2006

Monsanto Watch

I'm not sure an entire company can be evil but Monsanto is giving it a try. Who tells farmers they can't replant the seeds they harvest?

Organic Consumers Association Monsanto News

In order for the FDA to determine if Monsanto's growth hormones were safe or not, Monsanto was required to submit a scientific report on that topic. Margaret Miller, one of Monsanto's researchers put the report together. Shortly before the report submission, Miller left Monsanto and was hired by the FDA. Her first job for the FDA was to determine whether or not to approve the report she wrote for Monsanto. In short, Monsanto approved its own report. Assisting Miller was another former Monsanto researcher, Susan Sechen. Deciding whether or not rBGH-derived milk should be labeled fell under the jurisdiction of another FDA official, Michael Taylor, who previously worked as a lawyer for Monsanto.


Sourcewatch - Monsanto

Monsanto v Schmeiser

Percy Schmeiser is a farmer from Bruno, Saskatchewan Canada whose Canola fields were contaminated with Monsanto's Round-Up Ready Canola. Monsanto's position was that it didn't matter whether Schmeiser knew or not that his canola field was contaminated with the Roundup Ready gene, or whether or not he took advantage of the technology (he didn't); that he must pay Monsanto their Technology Fee of $15./acre. The Supreme Court of Canada agreed with Schmeiser, ruling that he didn't have to pay Monsanto anything...

Thursday, April 27, 2006

Gas Prices

The Politics of Oil: The Discourse Must Change

PDF version

(this is the posting)

Leaders of both political parties are expressing concern about the high price of gasoline. President George Bush announced yesterday that he was suspending deliveries to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in order to make more oil available to consumers as well as putting on hold the traditional regulations requiring additives to make fuel burn cleaner during the summer driving season.

Meanwhile, Democratic leaders have had their own response to rising gas prices. Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid has announced his support for the Menendez Amendment, which would "provide more than $6 billion in relief directly to the American people by eliminating the federal tax for both gas and diesel for 60 days." Senator Charles Schumer recently called for a federal investigation to determine whether oil companies are withholding gasoline production, and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi has blamed high gas prices on the administration's cozy relationship with the oil companies, price gouging, and royalty relief.

The editors of The Oil Drum are ideologically diverse. Over the last year, we have created a forum at www.theoildrum.com to encourage an open, rational, and fact-based discussion of energy issues. While individual editors frequently express an opinion on a subject, we have never felt it necessary to take a unified position on any specific issue. That is, until today.

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We strongly feel that the leaders of both political parties are not only headed in the wrong direction with respect to gas prices, but we also worry that they fundamentally misunderstand the factors behind the current situation at gasoline stations around the US. Public statements by political figures over the past several days would seem to suggest that oil companies and their record profits are the sole factor determining the price of gasoline. Not only is this untrue, but it is dangerous to give the American people the impression that only oil companies are to blame. The American people need to understand that the phenomenon of high gas prices cannot be attributed to a single source. They also need to understand that no one political party will be able to fix our current woes.

The major factor that determines gas prices is the price of crude oil from which gasoline is derived. When crude oil prices are high, so are gas prices. The following are just a few factors that affect the price of a barrel of oil:

1. Oil companies do not single-handedly determine the price of oil. The price of oil is set on the crude oil futures market. Simply put, these prices are affected by supply and demand because, at present, oil trades in a global commodity market where increased demand or reduced supply in one place instantly translates into price shifts everywhere. A variety of publicly available information sources show that supply is relatively static at the moment, while world demand continues to grow as economies grow.
2. We have provided evidence many times at The Oil Drum that the output of major oilfields is declining and that we may now have reached a peak or plateau in global oil supply. Oil companies have not been able to increase production for a number of years, and it is unclear that OPEC is accurately reporting their reserves. Even if there were significant sources of high quality oil remaining, it is getting increasingly difficult and expensive to drill. These factors, along with aging infrastructure for oil exploration and a retiring workforce are also contributing to high oil prices.
3. The geopolitical situation is volatile, and an astute citizen may notice that every time there is news from Nigeria or Iran, the price of oil goes up because of the potential and real effects of these situations on world oil supply. Again, oil traders are fearful that the supply will not remain stable forever.
4. Countries like China and India are industrializing at a great pace, and while we are accustomed to obtaining oil at a comfortable quantity and price, it will be impossible (and immoral) to deny similar resources to these countries. China is working furiously to secure new oil supplies, and they're content to negotiate with countries we're reluctant to deal with, like Iran and the Sudan.

These points demonstrate that disruptions in the supply of oil that affect the price of gasoline at the pump are not just a temporary glitch. For various reasons--decreased discoveries of new oilfields, geopolitical instability, international competition for oil supply--we can no longer assume that we will be able to consume as much oil as possible, or ever get it again for $1.50 a gallon.

Demagoguery and grandstanding are not strategies for addressing our energy problems. As an alternative, the editors of The Oil Drum put forth the following recommendations:

1. It is nonsensical for political leaders of both parties to eliminate the gas tax temporarily or permanently as this will only worsen our dependence on oil by disincentivizing the innovation of oil alternatives and oil conservation efforts.
2. Both mainstream American political parties are doing their country a disservice by accusing convenient scapegoats of price gouging or price fixing instead of educating the public about how the price of gas is actually set.
3. Right now, governments should be focused on helping us cure our "addiction to oil." The answer does not lie in lowering gas prices, which will only encourage people to drive more and further waste our valuable resources. As the Department of Energy funded Hirsch Report on Peak Oil laid out, the consequences of not taking steps to transition away from oil could be dramatic to our economic system. Appropriate solutions include large-scale research, development, and implementation programs to improve the scalability of alternative sources of energy, other projects geared towards improving mass transit and carpooling programs across the country, providing incentives to buy smaller and more fuel efficient vehicles, and promoting a campaign to increase awareness about conservation.

The political discourse on this topic is simply so devoid of fact, and constructive discourse so buried and out of the mainstream, that we felt we needed to raise a voice of reason. Public officials will continue to misinform and obfuscate if we allow it.

The only solution is to educate the public about the most important problem we face as a generation. We, the citizens of the US and the world, must move our attention to this the issue of energy more than any other. We must hold our representative governments accountable for having an open and honest debate on the subject.

Simply put, we must learn more about where our energy comes from.

Average Gas Prices Per County

USA National Gas Temperature Map

Organic Dairy Survey

Organic Dairy Report/Ratings Arranged by Cow Star Ratings

Wild Oats, Trader Joes, and Horizon are near the bottom.

I believe buying local is more important than buying organic. But buying local organic is always the best choice.

Ethanol Can Be Used With Diesel Too

Bioresource Technology - Ethanol-diesel fuel blends - a review (PDF)

I'm really surprised there aren't more diesel passenger vehicles in the U.S. A diesel engine is durable, offers spirited acceleration, gas mileage similar to hybrids, and diesel fuel can be sourced from or blended with bio-fuels as well as compressed natural gas. It is why I'm waiting for a diesel station wagon as the next family truckster.

Minimum Wage Laws

Setting a minimum wage is simply government price fixing.

Los Angeles has a "living wage" and the implications have been studied.

Key Findings PDF

Some items of note: 10,000 workers now are paid over $10/hr and only 112 lost their job. The industries impacted are immobile, meaning they are service oriented and so cannot move elsewhere. Businesses have adapted by cutting overtime and fringer benefits. More than 40% of workers still rely on government assistance of some sort.

The results indicate that a raise in the minimum wage is helping many people but as a policy should this really be the role of government?

Further questions for "living wage" proponents:

If $10/hr is good wouldn't a $25/hr minimum wage be better?
Should a maximum wage set?
Should government set the price of other services and goods? For example, should the government set a minimumm price of $20/lb for organic, fair-trade, shade-grown, coffee so the coffee farmers can have a living wage?

A Whole Lot Of Alton Brown (from 2002)

NPR - An Alton Brown Cookout: Unorthodox Cooking Methods

(includes plans for the trash can smoker)

Reason Magazine's Take On Peak Oil

Reason - Peak Oil Panic: Is the planet running out of gas? If it is, what should the Bush administration do about it?

The article concedes that 1 trillion barrels of oil has been consumed since the 19th Century and:
The world consumes about 87 million barrels of oil per day, or nearly 30 billion barrels of oil per year. How much oil is left? It’s hard to be sure. Proven oil reserves—i.e., oil that is recoverable under current economic and operating conditions—are estimated to be 1.1 trillion barrels by the industry journal World Oil, 1.2 trillion by the oil company BP, and 1.3 trillion by the Oil and Gas Journal.


However, when all proven and expected sources are added up the USGS estimates 5.9 trillion barrels of oil remains. So the fact remains that as oil demand exponentially increases the half-way point of all recoverable crude oil will be reached someday soon.

And as an aside, the article fails to note the differences between light sweet and heavy crude oil and how it is the easy to recover and refine light sweet crude oil that has reached its peak.

States Can Pass Impeachment Recommendation To The U.S. Congress

AlterNet - Impeaching Bush, State by State

Wednesday, April 26, 2006